Time To Sell High On Alexi Ogando?

There’s two answers to this question, depending on what type of league you’re in.  If you’re in a keeper league and have the depth, you might be better off holding on to him.  If you aren’t, however, then your best bet is to probably trade Alexi Ogando soon.

We all know Ogando has been an absolute stud so far this season.  His 95 mph fastball has a led him to perfect 5-0 record, 1.81 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 59.2 innings.  What’s not to like?  For starters, fatigue.  Ogando is a converted outfielder who threw 72 innings last year (Minors and MLB), and the nine starts he’s made this year are nine more than he’s made in his professional career.  I assume the Rangers have some sort of plan for him (i.e. inning count, move to the bullpen, etc.), but nothing they do can bode well for Fantasy owners.  Also, to take a note from the guys at FanGraphs, he’s a fly ball pitcher in a not-so-friendly park.

In short, I’m not saying that Ogando will completely fall off the face of the earth and you should start panicking.  He’s an exciting pitcher and will be solid this season – just not 1.81 ERA and 5-0 solid.  With that said, it’s obvious that his trade value is at its peak.  Wouldn’t you want to capitalize on that now, rather than try to do so post-All-Star break, likely in the midst of a regression?